What US Population Will Look Like in 2025

The U.S. Census Bureau has projected that the nation’s population will hit 341,145,670 at midnight on New Year’s Day.

It marks an increase of over 2.6 million people (0.78%) from January 1, 2024, and a rise of nearly 9.7 million (2.93%) since Census Day on April 1, 2020.

Why It Matters

Population size and net migration will be critical issues in 2025 as debates over immigration intensify. President-elect Donald Trump has vowed to conduct the largest deportation program in American history to tackle illegal migration, which could lead to a fall in population figures.

What To Know

Population growth is driven by a combination of births, deaths and international migration.

In January 2025 alone, the U.S. is expected to see one birth every 9.0 seconds and one death every 9.4 seconds, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

Migration continues to be a key driver of population growth in the U.S. ahead of Trump’s inauguration, and net international migration will contribute one person to the U.S. population every 23.2 seconds. Combined with the birth and death rates, it means that the U.S. population will grow by one person every 21.2 seconds throughout the first month of the year.

The world’s population is also set to grow, reaching 8.09 billion by the start of 2025—an increase of nearly 71.2 million, or 0.89%, from the previous year. Globally, 4.2 births and 2.0 deaths are expected every second throughout January.

These figures offer a glimpse into the ongoing demographic shifts shaping both the U.S. and global populations. With the U.S. experiencing steady growth, the coming years are poised to bring continued change to the nation’s makeup.

Figures could fall under the incoming Trump administration, with Tom Homan appointed as border czar to enforce stricter border controls and oversee Trump’s mass deportation program.

What People Are Saying

Loren Landau, professor of migration and development at the University of Oxford, told Newsweek: “Clearly a rising population runs the risk of creating pressure for jobs, services and housing. This will likely be felt most acutely among economically disadvantaged people, including many new migrants.

“Many of these are Trump supporters and may call for tighter restrictions. That said, the numbers alone need not be a problem. There are jobs unfilled, and every working migrant contributes energy, skills, and taxes to the economy. What is most important for the year ahead is not the numbers but the political framing.”

Karoline Leavitt, Trump-Vance transition spokeswoman, previously told Newsweek: “President Trump will enlist every federal power and coordinate with state authorities to institute the largest deportation operation of illegal criminals, drug dealers and human traffickers in American history while simultaneously lowering costs for families and strengthening our workforce.”

What Happens Next

Trump is set to begin his second presidential term in 20 days and is expected to sign a series of executive orders on his first day back in office, with a focus on mass deportations and strengthening border security.